333.
Edward L Glaeser,
Reflections on the post-Covid city, 2022.10.22,
https://academic.oup.com/cjres/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cjres/rsac039/6769955?searchresult=1 .
While cities will survive COVID-19, future pandemics could threaten our urban world. To avoid the nightmare scenario of permanent disease and social distancing, we must take the threat of future pandemic more seriously. A better solution would be a strong global alliance aimed at protecting against future pandemics.
332.
Sheikh Taslim Ali, Yiu Chung Lau, etc.,
Prediction of upcoming global infection burden of influenza seasons after relaxation of public health and social measures during the COVID-19 pandemic: a modelling study, 2022.11.01,
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/langlo/article/PIIS2214-109X(22)00358-8/fulltext .
For this modelling study, we used surveillance data on influenza virus activity for 11 different locations and countries in 2017–22. We implemented a data-driven mechanistic predictive modelling framework to predict future influenza seasons on the basis of pre-COVID-19 dynamics and the effect of PHSMs during the COVID-19 pandemic. We simulated the potential excess burden of upcoming influenza epidemics in terms of fold rise in peak magnitude and epidemic size compared with pre-COVID-19 levels.
331.
Anna Borlase, Epke A Le Rutte, etc.,
Evaluating and mitigating the potential indirect effect of COVID-19 on control programmes for seven neglected tropical diseases: a modelling study, 2022.11.01,
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/langlo/article/PIIS2214-109X(22)00360-6/fulltext .
Effect of the COVID-19-induced interruption in terms of delay to achieving elimination goals might in some cases be much longer than the duration of the interruption. For schistosomiasis, onchocerciasis, trachoma, and visceral leishmaniasis, a mean delay of 2–3 years for a 1-year interruption is predicted in areas of highest prevalence. We also show that these delays can largely be mitigated by measures such as additional mass drug administration or enhanced case-finding.
330.
Catherine H Bozio, Kristen Butterfield, etc.,
Relative Risks of COVID-19–Associated Hospitalizations and Clinical Outcomes by Age and Race/Ethnicity—March 2020–March 2021, 2022.10.05,
https://academic.oup.com/ofid/article/9/10/ofac376/6748239 .
During the first year of the US COVID-19 pandemic in this cohort, older non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic adults had the highest relative risks of COVID-19–associated hospitalization and adverse outcomes and, among those with select underlying conditions, the highest occurrences of acute exacerbations of underlying conditions.
329.
Troy Quast, Ross Andel, etc.,
Years of life lost associated with COVID-19 deaths in the USA during the first 2 years of the pandemic, 2022.05.30,
https://academic.oup.com/jpubhealth/article/44/3/e353/6594721 .
We employed data regarding COVID-19 deaths through 5 February 2022 by jurisdiction, gender and age group, and used actuarial life expectancy tables by gender and age to estimate YLLs. Our findings improve our understanding of how the mortality effects of COVID-19 have evolved. This insight can be valuable to public health officials as the disease moves to an endemic phase.
328.
Samantha S R Crossfield, Natalie J M Chaddock, etc.,
Interplay between demographic, clinical and polygenic risk factors for severe COVID-19, 2022.06.30,
https://academic.oup.com/ije/article/51/5/1384/6622041 .
We aimed to identify clinical, socio-demographic and genetic risk factors for severe COVID-19 (hospitalization, critical care admission or death) in the general population. This study conducted in the pre-SARS-CoV-2-vaccination era, emphasizes the novel insights to be gained from using genetic data alongside commonly considered clinical and socio-demographic factors to develop greater biological understanding of severe COVID-19 outcomes.
327.
Changwoo Han,
Changes in mortality rate of the general population during the COVID-19 pandemic: an interrupted time series study in Korea, 2022.04.23,
https://academic.oup.com/ije/article/51/5/1396/6573377 .
The non-accidental mortality rate in South Korea for the first year of the pandemic followed the historical trends. However, there was a decrease in mortality associated with respiratory diseases, and an increase in mortality occurring outside of medical facilities. The findings may be attributed to changes in public behaviours, and availability of medical resources during the pandemic.
326.
Florian Poydenot, Ismael Abdourahamane, etc.,
Risk assessment for long and short range airborne transmission of SARS-CoV-2, indoors and outdoors, 2022.10.06,
https://academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/advance-article/doi/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgac223/6750016?searchresult=1 .
The dispersion cone leads to a concentration in viral particles, and therefore a short range transmission risk, inversely proportional to the squared distance to an infected person and to the flow velocity. The aerosolization criterion derived as an intermediate result, which compares the Stokes relaxation time to the Lagrangian time scale, may find application for a broad class of aerosol-borne pathogens and pollutants.
325.
Courtney D Segal, William B Lober, etc.,
Trading-off privacy and utility: the Washington State experience assessing the performance of a public health digital exposure notification system for coronavirus disease 2019, 2022.10.07,
https://academic.oup.com/jamia/advance-article/doi/10.1093/jamia/ocac178/6752071?searchresult=1 .
DEN systems were an emergency response to COVID-19 pandemic, harnessing smartphone-based technology to enhance conventional pandemic response strategies such as contact tracing. We use implementation science to frame the evaluation of DEN tools by linking the theoretical constructs with the metrics available in the underlying disparate, deidentified, and aggregate data infrastructure. Continued collaboration and multidisciplinary consensus activities can improve the utility of DEN tools for future public health emergencies.
324.
Neal Doran, Jenna Gress-Smith, etc.,
Suicide Risk Among Military Veterans in the Southwestern United States Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic, 2022.10.13,
https://academic.oup.com/milmed/advance-article/doi/10.1093/milmed/usac303/6759407?searchresult=1 .
The pandemic has not led to an increase in suicidal behavior, which is consistent with other studies, although the degree of decline varied across diagnostic and demographic groups. Further longitudinal research is needed to evaluate whether the prolonged nature of COVID-19 may lead to changes in risk over time.
Beijing Interest Group on Global Health and Global Governance
Contact: secretary@bigghgg.cn